Nottingham Forest vs Southampton prediction, odds, betting tips, best bets for Premier League relegation clash
Nottingham Forest vs Southampton prediction, odds, betting tips, best bets for Premier League relegation clash
Nottingham Forest vs Southampton prediction, betting tips & odds

A critical relegation contest pits Nottingham Forest against Southampton as the two Premier League sides meet at The City Ground on Monday.

Both clubs begin the match in the relegation zone, and both desperately need points to give themselves an opportunity to pull away from the drop.

Forest will be the most energised to pull out of the bottom three, as they could lift themselves out of the relegation zone with a result of any kind, although victory will be expected at home against the last-placed club. They sit 18th in the table, level on points with both Leicester City and Leeds United above them but below on goal difference, with a seven-goal gap.

Southampton, meanwhile, know it will take more than just this match to dramatically save their season, but it must start here against a fellow relegation candidate. Saints rest five points below 19th-placed Everton and seven points from safety, likely down but still with a glimmer of hope.

The Sporting News football betting expert Kyle Bonn shares his best bets, props, and high risk/high return fliers for some of the biggest matches in the sport each week. Since the start of 2023, his best bets have hit 52.3% of the time, while his overall selections have generated a profit of over 15 units thus far. He has also correctly predicted 54 of 109 match outcomes via his 3-way moneyline leans to date.

Nottingham Forest vs Southampton match facts

  • Date: Monday, May 8
  • Kickoff Time: 3:00 p.m. ET / 8:00 p.m. BST / 5:00 a.m. AEST (Tue, May 9)
  • Location: The City Ground (Nottingham, England)
  • Official: Michael Oliver
  • Last meeting: Southampton 0-1 Nottingham Forest (Jan. 4, 2023 | Premier League)

Nottingham Forest vs Southampton prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: Draw (+240)
  • Handicap lean: Southampton +0.5 (-145)
  • Score prediction: Nottingham Forest 2-2 Southampton

At the start of 2023, it looked like Nottingham Forest had turned a corner, finally sorting out the bulging squad's best XI and on an upward trajectory.

Yet since the start of February, it's all gone wrong again. Forest have just a single win in their past 13 league matches, beaten handily in a number of games against top opponents, and even bested by relegation candidates like Leeds and West Ham.

Southampton are no top side, equally stricken with their own serious issues, but Forest appear vulnerable here, and there's real value on the Saints, who at least have looked competitive in games against those near the bottom of the table, even in defeat.

  Nott'm Forest
Draw Southampton
Both teams
to score Y / N
Over / Under
2.5 goals
+110 +240 +240 -130 / -110 -110 / -130 +100 -145

+110 +241 +231 -133 / -116 -101 / -127 +109 -139
11/10 12/5 5/2 8/11, 1/1 10/11, 4/5
2.05 3.30 3.60 1.75 / 1.95 2.00 / 1.85
2.11 3.47 3.40 1.81 / 1.93 2.01 / 1.80 2.08 1.75

    Nottingham Forest vs Southampton: best bet

    • Pick: Southampton double chance
    • Odds: -145 (BetMGM)
    • Pick: Southampton over 1.5 goals
    • Odds: +195 (BetMGM)

    If there's one constant between these two wildly inconsistent sides, it's Nottingham Forest's miserable defending.

    Forest have conceded multiple goals in all but one of their most recent six Premier League matches, and in the one they didn't — the win over Brighton — they still coughed up 2.33 expected goals. It's been a horrible run of defensive form that will get Forest relegated if it continues.

    Southampton aren't an attacking juggernaut, but they take chances when afforded to them. Across their past seven Premier League games, when Saints have put together over 1.0 xG (four of those seven games), they outscored their expected goals number, including putting three past both North London foes Tottenham and Arsenal.

    They could be good for a surprise road result here, and either selection listed above has potential and value.

    Nottingham Forest vs Southampton prop bet

    • Pick: Half with most goals — 2H
    • Odds: +105 (BetMGM)

    Both these teams fall apart defensively in the second half to a significant level, especially Southampton.

    Since the start of February, when Nottingham Forest's awful run of form began, Southampton have one of the league's largest first half-second half differentials in goals conceded, and Forest aren't terribly far behind.

    Saints have conceded just five first-half goals on 8.72 xG in their 13 matches since early February, but after the break they have shipped an insane 17 goals on 14.68 xG — a wild swing. Forest, meanwhile, don't have the same first-half solidity, but they still concede a larger amount of chances after the break. Expect those final 45 minutes to decide the match.

    Nottingham Forest vs Southampton live stream, TV channel

    MORE: Watch Premier League matches live with Fubo in USA

    MORE: Watch Nottingham Forest vs Southampton match live with Fubo in Canada

      TV channel Streaming
    USA USA Network, Telemundo Fubo, Peacock, Telemundo Deportes En Vivo
    Canada Fubo
    UK Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League Sky Sports
    Australia Optus Sport
    New Zealand Sky Sport Premier League Sky Sport NOW
    India Star Sports Select 2 Hotstar VIP, JioTV
    Hong Kong Now Premier League (620), Now Premier League 1 (621) Now E, Now Player
    Malaysia Astro SuperSport Astro Go, sooka
    Singapore 221 Hub Premier 1 StarHub TV+

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