Super Bowl coin toss history: Heads vs. tails statistics and how winners, losers have fared
Super Bowl coin toss history: Heads vs. tails statistics and how winners, losers have fared
Super Bowl coin toss history: Heads vs. tails statistics and how winners, losers have fared

It's the most watched coin toss in the world.

The Super Bowl begins with the flipping of a ceremonial coin, with the decision to start the first or second half with the ball on the line. It has taken on new meaning in recent years as well with NFL bettors picking it as one of the favorite prop bets each year.

There's not much of an edge anyone can get by gleaning anything from a coin toss. There is a 50 percent chance of predicting a coin toss correctly, and choosing one or the other doesn't give a team an edge in terms of the game's outcome.

But with 56 previous Super Bowls, there is plenty of data to look back at to try and see what trends there have been in past years with coin tosses. Here's what you need to know about the history of the coin toss.

MORE: Watch Super Bowl 57 live with fuboTV (free trial)

Super Bowl coin toss statistics

Heads vs. Tails

"Tails never fails" might not exactly live up to the expression, but it so far has the advantage. Super Bowl coin tosses have resulted in tails having a slight 29-27 edge over heads. During Super Bowl 57, tails added to its advantage as the Chiefs won the toss in calling tails.

Based on a simulation of 56 coin tosses 100,000 times, a single side would be expected to win between 27 and 29 times 31 percent of the time. In the simulation, 92 percent of outcomes would fall between 22 and 34 times.

Tails has built up its edge in recent years, with six of the past nine going its way. However, heads is on a two-game winning streak.

From 2009 to 2013, heads had the longest winning streak of any coin side at five. The odds of a coin toss going the same way five years in a row is low at only a 3 percent chance. The longest streak of tails in a row came is four, which has happened on three separate occasions (1998-2001, 2003-06, 2014-17).

The official coin of #SBLVII.

— NFL (@NFL) February 12, 2023

MORE SUPER BOWL: Most wins by team | Most wins by player

Coin toss winners

From those 56 Super Bowls, teams that have won the coin toss have gone on to win the game 24 times and lost 32 times. Teams that have won the coin toss are on a lengthy losing streak at this point. The last time a team won both the toss and the game was the Seahawks in Super Bowl 48.

Nine straight teams that won the coin toss have lost the Super Bowl.

Of the 24 teams that won the game and the coin toss, 16 were the betting odds favorite to win the game, while only eight were underdogs. That percentage is exactly in line with the history of the Super Bowl teams based on betting odds, with 37 favorites (66 percent) winning the Super Bowl and 19 underdogs (34 percent) coming out on top.

And of those 24, there is no particularly side that has been more favorable than the other. It is split with 12 each of winning the toss on heads and tails.

No team has won the coin toss more often than the Cowboys with their six wins. The 49ers with five are second, while the Dolphins and Rams each have four.

Among the two teams playing in Super Bowl 57, the Eagles have won the toss twice in team history, while the Chiefs have won only once. They are a combined 0-3 when winning the toss.

Of the three times the state of Arizona has hosted the Super Bowl, the team that has won the toss is 2-1. The Cowboys won the toss and beat the Steelers in Super Bowl 30; the Giants won the toss and upset the Patriots in Super Bowl 42; but the Seahawks won the toss and lost to the Patriots in Super Bowl 49. Each coin toss resulted in tails.

MORE SUPER BOWL: Youngest players to win | Oldest players to win

Super Bowl coin toss history

Here's a look at each coin toss in Super Bowl history, including coin result, toss-winning team and the final score of the game.

Super Bowl Coin Toss Toss Winner Final Score
Super Bowl 1 Heads Packers Packers 35, Chiefs 10
Super Bowl 2 Tails Raiders Packers 33, Raiders 14
Super Bowl 3 Heads Jets Jets 16, Colts 7
Super Bowl 4 Tails Vikings Chiefs 23, Vikings 7
Super Bowl 5 Tails Cowboys Colts 16, Cowboys 13
Super Bowl 6 Heads Dolphins Cowboys 24, Dolphins 3
Super Bowl 7 Heads Dolphins Dolphins 14, Redskins 7
Super Bowl 8 Heads Dolphins Dolphins 24, Vikings 7
Super Bowl 9 Tails Steelers Steelers 16, Vikings 6
Super Bowl 10 Heads Cowboys Steelers 21, Cowboys 17
Super Bowl 11 Tails Raiders Raiders 32, Vikings 14
Super Bowl 12 Heads Cowboys Cowboys 27, Broncos 10
Super Bowl 13 Heads Cowboys Steelers 35, Cowboys 31
Super Bowl 14 Heads Rams Steelers 31, Rams 19
Super Bowl 15 Tails Eagles Raiders 27, Eagles 10
Super Bowl 16 Tails 49ers 49ers 26, Bengals 21
Super Bowl 17 Tails Dolphins Redskins 27, Dolphins 17
Super Bowl 18 Heads Raiders Raiders 38, Redskins 9
Super Bowl 19 Tails 49ers 49ers 38, Dolphins 16
Super Bowl 20 Tails Bears Bears 46, Patriots 10
Super Bowl 21 Tails Broncos Giants 39, Broncos 20
Super Bowl 22 Heads Redskins Redskins 42, Broncos 10
Super Bowl 23 Tails 49ers 49ers 20, Bengals 16
Super Bowl 24 Heads Broncos 49ers 55, Broncos 10
Super Bowl 25 Heads Bills Giants 20, Bills 19
Super Bowl 26 Heads Redskins Redskins 37, Bills 24
Super Bowl 27 Heads Bills Cowboys 52, Bills 17
Super Bowl 28 Tails Cowboys Cowboys 30, Bills 13
Super Bowl 29 Heads 49ers 49ers 49, Chargers 26
Super Bowl 30 Tails Cowboys Cowboys 27, Steelers 17
Super Bowl 31 Heads Patriots Packers 35, Patriots 21
Super Bowl 32 Tails Packers Broncos 31, Packers 24
Super Bowl 33 Tails Falcons Broncos 34, Falcons 19
Super Bowl 34 Tails Rams Rams 23, Titans 16
Super Bowl 35 Tails Giants Ravens 34, Giants 7
Super Bowl 36 Heads Rams Patriots 20, Rams 17
Super Bowl 37 Tails Buccaneers Buccaneers 48, Raiders 21
Super Bowl 38 Tails Panthers Patriots 32, Panthers 29
Super Bowl 39 Tails Eagles Patriots 24, Eagles 21
Super Bowl 40 Tails Seahawks Steelers 21, Seahawks 10
Super Bowl 41 Heads Bears Colts 29, Bears 17
Super Bowl 42 Tails Giants Giants 17, Patriots 14
Super Bowl 43 Heads Cardinals Steelers 27, Cardinals 23
Super Bowl 44 Heads Saints Saints 31, Colts 17
Super Bowl 45 Heads Packers Packers 31, Steelers 25
Super Bowl 46 Heads Patriots Giants 21, Patriots 17
Super Bowl 47 Heads Ravens Ravens 34, 49ers 31
Super Bowl 48 Tails Seahawks Seahawks 43, Broncos 8
Super Bowl 49 Tails Seahawks Patriots 28, Seahawks 24
Super Bowl 50 Tails Panthers Broncos 24, Panthers 10
Super Bowl 51 Tails Falcons Patriots 34, Falcons 28
Super Bowl 52 Heads Patriots Eagles 41, Patriots 33
Super Bowl 53 Tails Rams Patriots 13, Rams 3
Super Bowl 54 Tails 49ers Chiefs 31, 49ers 20
Super Bowl 55 Heads Chiefs Buccaneers 31, Chiefs 9
Super Bowl 56 Heads Bengals Rams 23, Bengals 20
Super Bowl 57 Tails Chiefs TBD

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